Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.280553e-02 0.014470 0.016158 0.017991 0.019919 0.021882 0.024027
2025-04-20 9.896911e-03 0.012474 0.015214 0.018311 0.021686 0.025228 0.029202
2025-04-27 7.650571e-03 0.010692 0.014066 0.018009 0.022424 0.027158 0.032569
2025-05-04 5.898629e-03 0.009176 0.012970 0.017539 0.022775 0.028491 0.035119
2025-05-11 4.870079e-03 0.008356 0.012543 0.017713 0.023742 0.030413 0.038229
2025-05-18 3.887668e-03 0.007457 0.011919 0.017566 0.024268 0.031777 0.040657
2025-05-25 2.948682e-03 0.006480 0.011102 0.017111 0.024372 0.032606 0.042436
2025-06-01 2.251840e-03 0.005729 0.010497 0.016854 0.024657 0.033602 0.044365
2025-06-08 1.643343e-03 0.004999 0.009852 0.016493 0.024776 0.034372 0.046005
2025-06-15 1.255184e-03 0.004544 0.009533 0.016510 0.025325 0.035620 0.048174
2025-06-22 8.395772e-04 0.003934 0.008941 0.016136 0.025366 0.036248 0.049605
2025-06-29 4.620058e-04 0.003248 0.008169 0.015476 0.025016 0.036385 0.050441
2025-07-06 1.362505e-04 0.002434 0.007153 0.014504 0.024332 0.036210 0.051034
2025-07-13 5.356329e-05 0.002216 0.007078 0.014839 0.025335 0.038103 0.054107
2025-07-20 9.467971e-08 0.001797 0.006602 0.014572 0.025541 0.039013 0.056006
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001381 0.006048 0.014149 0.025513 0.039615 0.057520
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001194 0.005898 0.014305 0.026236 0.041132 0.060118
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000949 0.005575 0.014173 0.026557 0.042140 0.062095
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000672 0.005096 0.013764 0.026483 0.042637 0.063442
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000479 0.004748 0.013532 0.026632 0.043402 0.065102
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000306 0.004363 0.013208 0.026635 0.043968 0.066510
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000216 0.004190 0.013223 0.027101 0.045116 0.068622
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000107 0.003829 0.012888 0.027058 0.045603 0.069915